Although the Brewers dropped today’s game to the Dodgers, the Crew went 6-1 on the homestand and are 13-3 in August. Their winning run over approximately the past month has been better than any I can remember in the years I’ve watched this team.
And so what have we learned?
Well, first, that number five starter Chris Narveson should use safety scissors. I haven’t written a ton about Narveson this year, but I should have; Narveson is almost as good as any number five in the National League, and as my event services buddy Dennis noted today, on many teams would be a number four.* After a little blowup against Minnesota on July 2 (4.2 IP, 7 ER, 2 HR), Narveson had settled down nicely. In his six starts following that game, Narveson went 5-1 with a 3.50 ERA. Opposing batters were hitting just .244 against him in that stretch. And then, to continue the Brewers string of freak injuries this season, the guy is forced to the DL after cutting his pitching hand with a scissors trying to repair his glove.
But that leads to the second lesson: Marco Estrada is an exceptional spot starter. He received his first starting opportunity this year as a fill-in for Zack Greinke, who fractured a rib during spring training playing basketball. Estrada made four starts for Greinke, two of them excellent, one decent, and one terrible. He then went to the bullpen, where let’s just say the results weren’t impressive. Between May 10 and August 11, Estrada’s 26 relief appearances got him a 1-6 record, 3 blown saves, four holds, and a 4.81 ERA. There were some signs of life in all that, though; he held opposing batters to a .255 average, maintained a strikeout-to-walk ratio of roughly 2.7, and threw 62% of his pitches for strikes. All of which set the stage nicely for his two starts in Chris Narveson’s stead. On August 13, Estrada threw five innings of shutout ball against the Pirates, striking out five and getting the win. Today Estrada was nearly as effective, allowing only one run over five innings. He didn’t get the win (the Brewers’ offense was blanked until the ninth inning by Clayton Kershaw), but that wasn’t his fault.
Third, there’s some confidence to be had on this ballclub. Up and down the lineup, every player is contributing, not just the usuals like Braun and Fielder. Yesterday Jerry Hairston Jr. came up with the big hit to give the Brewers a 3-1 lead against the Dodgers. On Tuesday Mark Kotsay chipped in with a pinch-hit, walk-off RBI single. Nyjer Morgan came up with a sac fly in extra innings to win the game on Sunday against the Pirates. The pitching has been excellent; the Brewers’ staff owns the second-best National League August ERA at 2.51. Incidentally, the Dodgers, with whom the Brewers just finished a four-game series, have the best NL August ERA (2.38), which might explain why the Brewers were able to muster only nine runs. But what matters most are the wins, and there have been plenty of those lately.
The Brewers now hit the road to take on a few sub-.500 opponents in the 60-63 Mets and the 58-64 Pirates before returning home to face the Cubs beginning August 26.
Magic Number Watch: 32.